Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below the $90,000 support level as the weekly close approached on Sunday, leading to forecasts of increased BTC price volatility.
Key points:
Bitcoin is expected to break free from its sideways trading pattern as volatility hits “extreme” lows.
Traders are anticipating a breakout as the weekly close nears.
Concerns about a bear market have prompted another target for BTC to potentially bottom out at $50,000.
Bitcoin breakout move “around the corner”
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView indicated stagnant BTC price movements over the weekend, with significant horizontal resistance looming overhead.
Repeated attempts to rally earlier in the week fell short, but Bitcoin’s confined trading zone now suggests a substantial movement is imminent.
“Extreme low volatility setup. Indicates a directional move is on the horizon,” trader analyst Aksel Kibar stated in his most recent post on X.
Kibar proposed two possible scenarios for the upcoming volatility: either a downturn from the current bear flag on the daily chart or an ascent towards $95,000.
“If this serves as a bear flag, a final drop towards the 73.7K-76.5K range might occur, where we’re looking for a medium-term bottom signal,” he continued, sharing an illustrative chart.
“If BTC makes a breakthrough at 94.6K, it could swiftly approach 100K (the lower threshold of the broadening pattern).”
Others regard BTC/USD as at a pivotal point, with new lows possible if sellers dominate.
$BTC is still hovering around the $90,000 mark.
For a solid upward movement, Bitcoin must reclaim the $92,000-$94,000 range.
If BTC retreats below the $88,000-$89,000 level, expect a drop towards $85,000. pic.twitter.com/7eINwHyJV8
— Ted (@TedPillows) December 14, 2025
“$90,600 and $89,800 represent our range,” trader Crypto Tony noted to his X followers on that day.
“Focus on trading the breakout.”
$50,000 range now “potential” BTC price target
In its recent analysis, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant cautioned that the Bitcoin bear market has already begun.
Related: Bitcoin retail inflows to Binance ‘collapse’ to 400 BTC record low in 2025
A combination of downward-moving simple moving averages (SMAs) and prices trading below critical trendlines formed the foundation for a bleak new market outlook by contributor Pelin Ay.
“Price reactions are being sold at declining moving averages, indicating these averages are now dynamic resistance levels. Breakout attempts occur with minimal volume, signaling a lack of buying strength. Selling volume on red candles is noticeably heavier than buying volume on green candles,” she explained in a “Quicktake” blog post on Sunday.
“During recovery attempts, buying volume fails to support upward movements. In summary, Bitcoin is currently in a reaction phase within a bear market. The structure remains bearish, and upward moves lack conviction.”
While noting that Ether (ETH) has shown a stronger recovery from recent long-term lows, Ay expressed that there remains little reason for optimism.
“For the time being, the Bitcoin rally seems to be over,” she concluded.
“A deeper bear market phase, potentially targeting the $50K region, is likely before any significant upward movement.”
As Cointelegraph has reported, calls for significantly lower BTC price support retests have been increasing throughout December.
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