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    Home»Regulation»What Shutdown? Bitcoin Bulls Move Towards $118,000.
    Regulation

    What Shutdown? Bitcoin Bulls Move Towards $118,000.

    Ethan CarterBy Ethan CarterOctober 1, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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    Highlights:

    • Bitcoin is attempting to surpass $118,000 for the first time since mid-August.

    • Weakness in the US labor market boosts crypto and risk assets despite the government shutdown.

    • Price dips are viewed as “buy opportunities,” according to BTC analysis.

    Bitcoin (BTC) aimed for six-week highs after the Wall Street open on Wednesday, with markets ignoring the US government shutdown.

    0199a078 9f6a 706b 97cc 3feef2bdf07c
    BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    Bitcoin kicks off October with a breakout attempt

    Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView indicated that BTC/USD hit $117,713 in response to weak US jobs data.

    The pair was just $150 shy of breaking its September high—achieving this would place it at its highest since August 17.

    “Bitcoin is attempting a breakout from its Monthly Range already on the first day of October,” noted popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital in his latest commentary on X.

    0199a071 6d57 799a 9609 6553aad92b05
    BTC/USD one-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

    US private-sector employment numbers fell significantly short of expectations, with a projected gain of 45,000 jobs for September turning negative.

    This labor market weakness is viewed as a positive for crypto, as it increases the likelihood of interest-rate cuts, leading to greater capital inflows.

    The latest information from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed that markets predominantly expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 0.25% during its October meeting.

    0199a071 fa05 7dcf 95f7 222941baa12e
    Fed target rate probabilities for October FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

    Trader Jelle observed BTC’s price action as “breaking through resistance effortlessly.”

    “One last point to consider: a sweep of the September highs. Clear those, and bears will have very little to support them. Higher,” he told his followers on X.

    0199a072 da44 7f69 819b e815a7b62ae5
    BTC/USD chart. Source: Jelle/X

    Others pointed out potential support retests, with trading account Daan Crypto Trades highlighting $112,000 as “key short-term support.”

    “Ideally, we don’t want to see the price drop back to that,” he wrote with a chart showing a channel that the price was trying to break through.

    “It’s up to the bulls now; a proper breakout and daily closes above the channel would indicate readiness for a move to new highs.”

    0199a073 3843 78aa 80e4 80bc40bb38e1
    BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

    The recent US government shutdown, however, did not seem to dampen the optimistic sentiment across risk assets.

    Related: BTC price projected to fluctuate around $108K: 5 key points regarding Bitcoin this week

    Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index saw modest gains, while gold stabilized after reaching its latest all-time highs earlier in the day.

    According to trading company QCP Capital, the shutdown should be of little consequence.

    “On fiscal matters, a U.S. government shutdown is unlikely to significantly impact the market, apart from some data delays and headline noise,” they stated in their latest “Asia Color” research piece.

    “Essential services will continue, back-pay limits income effects, and historical instances haven’t negatively impacted risk assets.”

    0199a074 a84b 71b2 b536 99ab2377391a
    BTC/USD vs. S&P 500 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    QCP noted that during the 2018 shutdown, the S&P 500 ended up 10% higher.

    “Given BTC’s heightened beta to equities, we view shutdown-related dips as buying opportunities rather than chasing after gap-ups,” they concluded.

    This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investment and trading actions involve risks, and readers should conduct their own research before making decisions.