Bitcoin is currently navigating challenging market conditions as it struggles to bounce back from $112,500. As of now, BTC is trading at $112,425, just above a crucial support level.
Despite the persistent volatility, investor sentiment remains unexpectedly optimistic. This positivity is driven not by price increases, but by behavioral patterns.
Bitcoin Profits Dip
Over the past week, Bitcoin profits have significantly declined, reaching a two-month low. The price decrease has pushed numerous addresses into a loss, leading to a reduction in overall realized gains. Such drawdowns frequently follow overheating conditions, suggesting a recent market peak.
Historically, when 95% of the supply is profitable, a market top occurs, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. At these levels, investors typically take profits, resulting in short-term corrections. Although this behavior is predictable, it poses challenges for those anticipating ongoing price rallies.
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Even with the decline in profitability, investor behavior shows strength. Recent on-chain data indicates that over 11,890 BTC were withdrawn from exchanges in the last 24 hours. This trend reflects accumulation, as holders expect a market rebound.
The exchange net position change reflects consistent outflows, despite falling prices. Previously active sellers are now re-entering as buyers, indicating a strategic shift. These actions convey confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value, notwithstanding short-term profitability declines.

BTC Price Maintains Support
Bitcoin’s current price of $112,425 is clinging to the $112,500 support level, which has remained robust since early August, acting as a significant buffer against deeper losses. Currently, price action indicates consolidation rather than a downturn.
Considering the current sentiment and net accumulation, Bitcoin could bounce back to $115,000. Should buying pressure grow and macro support strengthen, BTC may stabilize above this resistance level. Alternatively, it might continue to trade sideways between $112,500 and $115,000 until the market gains clarity.

However, if accumulation slows and selling resumes, Bitcoin may drop to $110,000. Such a decline would signify a near two-month bottom and could expose BTC to greater downside risks.
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