Highlights:
Bitcoin is poised to recover from its recent decline and potentially reach new all-time highs within the next four months, reflecting historical trends.
Research indicates that the Bitcoin outlook until Christmas is “positive yet less volatile.”
The current downturn might be “frontrunning” typical BTC price declines observed in September.
Bitcoin (BTC) is projected to achieve average gains of 44% by Christmas, as experts downplay the potential for a deeper price correction.
Insights from network economist Timothy Peterson, shared on X this week, forecasts a “positive” performance for BTC/USD in Q4.
Bitcoin analysis aims for $160,000 target
Historically, Bitcoin experiences its weakest gains in September, a month where BTC/USD has never concluded more than 8% higher.
Despite this trend, Peterson, who consistently analyzes performance across multiple bull markets, remains hopeful.
“Just Four Months Until Christmas. How does Bitcoin typically perform during this period? It rises 70% of the time, with an average gain of +44%,” he stated.
This average rise would position Bitcoin at $160,000 by the final week of 2025, as supported by data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.
Peterson notes that while these expectations serve as a guideline, various atypical years exist throughout Bitcoin’s history.
“Nonetheless, I believe some years lack comparable market/economic conditions to 2025. I would exclude 2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017 as outlier years,” he concluded.
“This skews the outcome towards a favorable yet less volatile performance.”
Bitcoin “frontrunning” typical September downturn
Meanwhile, other analysts are undeterred by the current BTC price weakness, which has returned to its lowest levels since early July.
Related: Bitcoin Q2 dip similarities are ‘uncanny’ as Coinbase Premium turns positive
Popular trader Donny informed X followers that BTC/USD is “frontrunning” traditional September price dips.
“The scale may differ — but the outcome remains the same. Significantly higher,” he predicted while paralleling price actions to the 2017 bull market.
Donny also mentioned he envisions BTC/USD mirroring gold after a period of lag — a classic correlation that has persisted in recent years.
This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trading involve risks, and readers should conduct thorough research before making decisions.
