News Background
- XRP experienced a significant decline, dropping 4.3% within the 24-hour period from August 28 at 13:00 to August 29 at 12:00, amid overall market weakness.
- On-chain metrics indicated that Korean exchanges absorbed 16 million XRP (approximately $45.5 million) during the downturn, highlighting regional institutional interest despite a reduction in retail exposure.
- Historically, South Korea has influenced speculative crypto trading, often leading price movements in particular altcoins, a phenomenon referred to as the “Kimchi Premium” effect.
- The accumulation of large wallets tied to Korean exchanges or institutions suggests that regional demand may be stepping in to mitigate retail selling pressure, potentially stabilizing XRP prices.
- For global traders, this creates a narrative of distribution versus accumulation: while some whales transferred $200 million in DOGE to Binance (a distribution signal), Korean desks were increasing their XRP holdings (an accumulation signal).
- Activity on the XRP Ledger surged, with active addresses rising by 20% over three days leading up to the September 12 Decentralized Media launch.
- Linklogis, a Chinese fintech firm, has integrated its trillion-dollar supply chain financing platform with the XRP Ledger, resulting in a 23% equity boost and emphasizing enterprise adoption.
Price Action Summary
- XRP fell from $3.02 to $2.89 in the 24-hour span, marking a 4.30% decrease within a range of $0.17 (5.75%) between the $3.02 peak and $2.85 low.
- A wave of selling at 15:00 GMT on August 28 caused prices to plummet to $2.77 on a volume of 96.19 million, exceeding the 24-hour average of 43.48 million.
- Buying support emerged in the $2.85–$2.86 range, with volumes surpassing average levels during the recovery period from 07:00 to 09:00 GMT on August 29.
- In the concluding hour (11:56–12:55 GMT), XRP rallied from $2.87 to $2.89, briefly reaching $2.91 at 12:31 on a spike of 19.6 million.
Technical Analysis
- Support: Essential support level at $2.77, strengthened by considerable volume absorption; $2.85–$2.86 currently serves as an accumulation zone.
- Resistance: Short-term resistance at $2.91; $3.02 remains a significant barrier due to repeated rejections.
- Momentum: RSI has risen from 42 (oversold) into the mid-50s, indicating a recovery trend.
- MACD: Histogram is tightening towards a bullish crossover, signaling potential upside if buyer momentum persists.
- Patterns: Symmetrical triangles and double-bottom formations align with a broader cup-and-handle pattern that some analysts predict could extend toward targets of $5–$13.
What Traders Are Watching
- Observation of whether the $2.85–$2.86 support holds against renewed selling pressure.
- A confirmed breakout above $3.02–$3.04 resistance may initiate a movement towards $3.20.
- Downside risks could arise if $2.77 fails, with $2.70 as the next support level.
- Institutional accumulation on Korean exchanges and corporate flows are crucial for maintaining momentum leading into September’s event calendar.