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    Home»Regulation»Where Could Bitcoin’s Lowest Point Be? Analysis Predicts a Drop to $114,000
    Regulation

    Where Could Bitcoin’s Lowest Point Be? Analysis Predicts a Drop to $114,000

    Ethan CarterBy Ethan CarterOctober 8, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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    Key takeaways:

    • Bitcoin’s price remains subdued after a drop of over 4% within hours.

    • Liquidity is showing signs of recovery, with short-term volatility becoming more likely as a result.

    • BTC price forecasts indicate a potential local bottom at around $114,000.

    Bitcoin (BTC) faced challenges in reclaiming $122,000 on Wednesday as market participants anticipated new BTC price fluctuations.

    0199c2c5 66d5 7956 8c5c 801e706acf54
    BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    Bitcoin navigates sideways after all-time high decline

    Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView indicated BTC/USD consolidating following a sudden 4.2% decrease the day before.

    This correction was largely anticipated due to consecutive all-time highs without significant upward momentum.

    As reported by Cointelegraph, a rapid increase in open interest (OI) within derivatives markets heightened concerns that Bitcoin might retrace a portion of its recent gains.

    0199c2be df82 71cb 9246 08505fff7166
    Exchange Bitcoin futures OI (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

    “The price action has been very effective, which explains the low volatility to this point,” trader Skew remarked in an X post on Tuesday as the correction emerged.

    Skew later indicated that large-volume traders were displaying “predatory” tactics in exchange order books.

    Obvious PvP -> Predatory trading ongoing on Binance market for $BTC

    spoofing the ask above current price
    spoofing the bid below current price on perps

    What’s the aim of this predatory behavior?
    To lift price temporarily via perps & then push market lower by…

    — Skew Δ (@52kskew) October 7, 2025

    However, liquidity started to return to the market overnight, with data from CoinGlass showing an increase in both bid-side and ask-side liquidity at the time of this writing.

    0199c2c2 81a1 7ed7 8433 7cc090338930
    BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

    Skew suggested a potential “consolidation range” may emerge.

    BTC price support targets $114,000 again

    Others evaluated potential levels for a reliable local floor, cautioning that this could be notably beneath the current spot price.

    Related: BTC’s October breakout odds are low: 5 things to know about Bitcoin this week

    “Little support exists between $121K–$120K, allowing the price to move quickly if selling accelerates,” trader ZYN reported on X.

    “Just below that, around $117K, nearly 190K BTC were last acquired. That’s a significant cluster of recent buyers.”

    0199c2bf e82a 7731 98cb 8d4e416aafb3
    Bitcoin cost basis distribution heatmap. Source: ZYN/X

    ZYN utilized the cost basis of recent investors to predict potential demand zones for price support.

    “If we see a pullback into that range, it’s typically where strong buyers step in to defend their positions, with new capital entering the market. In summary: weak support at $121K, but a solid floor forming around $117K,” he concluded.

    Using its proprietary trading signals, trading resource Material Indicators highlighted $120,000 support but indicated that a stronger rebound foundation is at $114,000, near Bitcoin’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA).

    0199c2c0 845b 71eb b448 207b4ee7c490
    BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Material Indicators/X

    For crypto trader, analyst, and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe, the next buy zone extends to $118,000.

    “Bitcoin achieved a new all-time high, often prompting profit-taking among investors,” he noted.

    “A minor pullback puts us on the verge of my desired buying area.”

    0199c2c1 51cc 752f 81d8 a22d7b75303b
    BTC/USDT one-day chart with trading volume, RSI data. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

    This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision carries risk, and readers should do their own research before making a decision.