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    Home»Regulation»US Dollar Rises Sharply as US Employment Figures Weigh on Cryptocurrency
    Regulation

    US Dollar Rises Sharply as US Employment Figures Weigh on Cryptocurrency

    Ethan CarterBy Ethan CarterSeptember 25, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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    Highlights:

    • Bitcoin declines alongside stocks and gold due to strong US jobs data.

    • The US dollar index hits its highest level in three weeks after jobless claims fall below forecasts.

    • $110,000 is becoming an increasingly plausible price target for BTC.

    On Thursday, Bitcoin (BTC) appeared “likely” to test the $110,000 mark as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors contributed to its price decline.

    Bitcoin Price, Markets, Price Analysis
    BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    US Jobless Claims Impact Risk Assets

    Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed new local lows of $110,658 on Bitstamp.

    The US jobless claims data indicated less labor market weakness than previously thought.

    This change led to reduced confidence about potential Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, according to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.

    01998141 837e 7a1d a632 a9855f5b9e81
    Fed target rate probability comparison for October FOMC meeting (screenshot). Source: CME Group

    “And just like that, initial jobless claims are no longer a concern,” remarked Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, as part of a tweet.

    Consequently, the strength of the US dollar surged, with the dollar index (DXY) reaching three-week highs, while crypto, stocks, and gold experienced declines.

    01998142 25b0 7d79 97f5 65ba7a65a5d2
    US dollar index (DXY) one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    Uncertainty over the Russia-Ukraine conflict added to the negative sentiment, especially amid reports of Russian jet interceptions over Alaska.

    The Kobeissi Letter trading resource described the stock market pullback as “overdue,” stating, “Healthy bull markets do not move in a straight line.”

    01998143 f27b 7853 83e0 9755803086e5
    BTC/USD vs. Nasdaq 100 one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

    As reported by Cointelegraph, stocks and gold had recently reached record highs.

    $110,000 Critical for BTC Price

    Regarding BTC price action, Swissblock indicated that the market is “in a delicate balance.”

    Related: Largest long liquidation of the year: 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this week

    “Bitcoin has fallen below $113K and is hovering under $112K: a retest of $110K seems imminent,” it cautioned followers on X.

    Swissblock advised that BTC/USD must reclaim $115,200 to have a chance at reaching the top of its range. Conversely, losing $110,000 could pave the way to a $100,000 target.

    “$110K = max pain. Likely to be tested, rendering Friday’s options worthless,” it noted, referring to the forthcoming $17.5 billion options expiry event.

    01998144 956c 7432 8be8 1027c244b1b0
    BTC/USD chart. Source: Swissblock/X

    Bullish sentiment in crypto focused on order-book liquidity. With many markets heavily short, a potential “squeeze” upward seemed increasingly likely.

    “Observe the dominance of short positions in potential liquidations,” TheKingfisher trading resource remarked in a commentary on proprietary data.

    “$AVAX short positions account for 96.2% of pending liquidations. $ETH at 78.3%. $BTC at 69.4%. This is how liquidations accumulate. Savvy investors recognize this as a price magnet.”

    This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Each investment and trading decision carries risks, and readers should undertake their own research.